Alabama State
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 87.1308Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1-10 218 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1-10 226 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-32 227 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 0- 6 227 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3-23 228 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 3- 9 228 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 6-29 310 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 1- 6 317 A Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 7- 8 331 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 3-11 421 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 1- 4 505 A Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 2- 1
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Southern Miss 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.21
218 A Troy 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.63
226 A Oklahoma 0-32 -32 -14 -0.49
227 A Sam Houston 0- 6 -6 -5 -0.75
227 A Oklahoma 3-23 -20 -14 -0.49
228 H Sam Houston 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.23
228 A Oklahoma 6-29 -23 -14 -0.49
310 H Troy 1- 6 -5 -5 -0.12
317 A Georgia State 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.01
331 A Jacksonville State 3-11 -8 -8 0.38
421 H Jacksonville State 1- 4 -3 -7 + 3.89
505 A Prairie View A&M 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Southern Miss 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.21 218 A Troy 1-10 -9 -6 - -2.63 228 H Sam Houston 3- 9 -6 -4 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Georgia State 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.01 505 A Prairie View A&M 2- 1 1 -3 ++ 4.12 421 H Jacksonville State 1- 4 -3 -7 + 3.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1-10 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 2.10 -9.43
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 1-10 -7.14 12.23 0.74 2.10 -6.72
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0-32 -0.00 19.37 0.74 2.10 -0.78
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 0- 6 -8.26 11.11 0.74 2.10 -7.89
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 3-23 -0.00 19.37 0.74 2.10 -0.78
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 3- 9 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 2.10 -9.45
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 6-29 -0.00 19.37 0.74 2.10 -0.78
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 1- 6 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 2.10 -8.28
3 A Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 7- 8 -8.50 10.87 0.74 2.10 -8.15
3 A Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 3-11 -5.13 14.24 0.74 2.10 -4.61
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 1- 4 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 2.10 -6.17
3 A Prairie View A ( 3- 5, 89.5) 2- 1 -10.39 8.98 0.74 2.10 40.84
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-22.21
|
winning pts = 40.8393 losing points = -63.0479
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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